There is a cold front moving into the area tomorrow. The temps will drop a bit, but nothing significant, no surf. The pattern is getting more active. The front tomorrow is followed by another front on Wednesday, then a third one at the start of next week. The surf and weather report below is for the Wednesday/Thursday front.
West Florida:
Revision summary: The surf may come up just before dark on Wednesday. Thursday morning should be the best time to surf.
On Wednesday the surf may come up just before dark. The gradient quickly tightens in the gulf, going from 15 knots, to 20 knots (3pm), to 25 knots by nightfall as the front moves through. The rain chances are around 40% on Wedneday. Late evening on Wednesday could be fun because of that high incoming tide, and light onshore winds if the surf comes up. Thursday, the winds are onshore all day from the northwest; 5-10 knot winds in the morning, lightening up some by noon. The temps are mild into the upper 60s. The water is 74°. The surf will be around chest high or bigger for the majority of the swell. Here is a link to a good wave model you can check just in case anything changes: SWAN . There are also a variety of other wave model forecast links on the Weather Instruments Page.
Panhandle:
In Pensacola and Panama City head high swell starts to fill in by noon on Wedneday from 25 knot onshore winds. There may be a small window of side-offshore winds in Pensacola Wednesday evening.
Texas:
Tuesday will be the day for Texas. 20-25 knot onshore winds accompanied by chest high swell will show up first thing in the morning and last all through the day. The swell will be all but gone on Wednesday morning. There is also a very high chance of rain around 70%. The high is in the low 70s. The water is 68° at Port Aransas.
East Florida:
The surf on the East Coast doesn’t significantly rise behind the front. The low enters the Atlantic really high on the east coast, and the strong wind is pointed offshore; so, the front isn’t much of a wave-maker for east Florida.
