Category Archives: Tropical

Nate’s On His Way

Tropical Storm Nate is just south of the Yucatan Peninsula . It’s traveling at 21 mph and has maximum sustained winds at 50 mph. So this tells us that it’s a super fast moving storm and that there are significant winds associated with the storm. The storm tracks into the gulf tomorrow morning and blasts through in only a day, as smaller storms often do. The wind direction and placement tomorrow morning by 6am down in the Yukatan channel looks conducive for the development of surf, and only gets better from there. We can expect the swell to start filling in sometime mid-day or early afternoon tomorrow. There should be really fun surf. At the swells peak on Sunday the surf could get up to head high with gusty winds at times. The close proximity of the storm and strength of the winds offshore favor solid surf.

GFS Run (noon Fri), Showing 6am Sat thru Noon Sun:

Hurricane Irma West Florida Surf Forecast

Hurricane Irma moving through could generate really fun swell. It’s now 11 at night.  Some of the most severe weather we’ll see through the next three or four hours as the storm’s eye moves past the area.  This category 2 hurricane is currently on a track toward Continue reading Hurricane Irma West Florida Surf Forecast

Hurricane Irma GFS Forecast Track: Florida In The Path of Destruction

Major Hurricane Irma is currently a category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 120 mph, with even higher gusts according to NOAA. Irma is expected to maintain its intensity for the next 5 days, if not strengthen. The ocean’s heat increases along its path, mid-level moisture is abundant, and verticle shear is low. 5 days out, as Irma approaches Florida it’s still expected to be a category 3, a very big storm.

Also, check this out: Part 2 of Hurricane Irma (Wednesday) and preparing for the storm.

Continue reading Hurricane Irma GFS Forecast Track: Florida In The Path of Destruction

Harvey: A Major Hurricane Before Landfall

Less than 24 hours ago Harvey had a tropical storm peak intensity outlook.  A recent reconnaissance flight measured Harvey, only to determine he’s become deadly impressive.  Expected to make landfall in Texas on Friday evening.  Harvey now has a 15-20 nautical mile wide eye with winds of 55knots and a pressure at 982millibars.  Harvey is expected to move Continue reading Harvey: A Major Hurricane Before Landfall

Gulf Coast Surf Forecast: Tropical Strom Harvey Remnants

What was Tropical Storm Harvey no longer has a closed center of circulation and is considered a tropical wave.  It’s currently a 1008 mb low, which means the low associated with the wave isn’t very strong.  It’s headed across Central America tonight. After moving over open waters of the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday Continue reading Gulf Coast Surf Forecast: Tropical Strom Harvey Remnants

Tropical Storm Franklin is Spinning

We have a newly formed tropical storm this morning. Tropical Strom Franklin was looking good right from the moment it exited the African peninsula. It lost its shape while moving through the Atlantic. It began to reform within the past day or two. Today, as it nears the gulf, it has enough of a spin to be called a tropical storm. The eye is located Continue reading Tropical Storm Franklin is Spinning