Tag Archives: weather forecast

A Storm is Coming

A tropical disturbance with zero percent chance of becoming a organized system is expected to move toward the eastern part of Florida and ride up along the coast. Locally, we’re only expecting a slight increase in rain chances as this big ball of moisture gets closer. I suppose it’s possible that it takes a track through the gulf. Far more likely the course will take its currently forecast track. The chances for surf on the gulf side are slim to none, although we should see a good swell begin to fill in on the east coast as early as Friday with light onshore winds. The strong winds look to stay centered over the right side of the low while it stays just offshore. It looks like Friday, Saturday, and Sunday should be storm surf over there with the surf fading beyond Sunday as the storm drifts away. Saturday looks like the day to go. If anyone wants to make a trip we could have a big carpool. I did that once with the USF surf club which was pretty fun. Maybe we can coordinate something if enough people are interested.

Major Hurricane Michael

In the latest update from the National Hurricane Center the surf producing storm churning down around the Yucatan Peninsula is currently at category 1 status. Michael has a maximum sustained winds of 70 miles per hour. It’s currently a 982 millibar storm, actually quite strong, and it’s only going to get bigger up until the point where it makes landfall. Michael is forecast to become a major hurricane by Tuesday or Tuesday night. We can expect a large storm surge and large surf generated by this major hurricane. We might even see Honeymoon Island break into two islands this week. This will probably send the red tide up toward the panhandle and north Florida area, you can rid the red tide goodbye. The surf from Michael is going to be good sized surf through the entire event. It’s going to come up quick, and it’s going to drop quick. You can expect this thing to start off with offshore winds, then turn south, then west as the storm moves up into the northeast. Expect waist-chest to way overhead high through most of the time when the storm is in the gulf.