At the present moment there is a tropical storm warning for the northern portion of west Florida, only stretching as far south as the Anclote area. The storm surge is expected to contribute to swelling of the river and waterways. Overflow is likely to occur. Places with poor drainage are likely to experience flooding, and there is a possibility that flood waters may enter a few structures. Major beach erosion is expected. Water may breach the sand dunes. Rip currents along the beach are sure to occur. There may be moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. There is a risk of small crafts breaking away from their moorings. You should also prepare for potentially dangerous winds.
Around noon today the northern end of Holms Beach was already beginning to become soggy. First we drove down to the recently modified three piers surf spot to check the surf. It looked alright, but we then traveled down to the north end of the island. The roads to the north end were like small ponds. After a couple trips between the spots, we ended up deciding to surf the more southern spot down by three pier. We were using the thinking that if the water continued to rise at the rate it was, we may end up stranded on the north end of the island, or risk seriously damaging the engine. The storm surge and constant rain was already having a significant impact on this low lying island.
Forecasting surf and more generally, weather conditions, for this tropical system has been absolutely confusing. No one seems to be able to firm up the forecast of this system. What was expected to be strong south winds today turned out to be completely slack winds for the entire day, aside from the occasional gust from ensuing squall lines. The light winds all day were unexpected. It was certainly a treat to be surprised with glassy surf the whole day.
Video by Austin Hess
The fish knew something was coming too. As we swam around out past the end of the piers multiple scares occurred. Large fish were seen thrashing around in the water. Luckily there weren’t any hungry sharks on the prowl for unexpecting surfers. But it was clear, the fish were certainly aware of the impending storm system, and like the hawk, they were filling their bellies.
The waves were super fun today. Hopefully the surf doesn’t drop off too quickly on Friday. We want to surf! The waves may be rideable tomorrow morning before the storm’s winds really begin to impact our area. Luckily, Pinellas and counties to the south are now far out of the direct path of this potential hurricane.
