Tag Archives: global forecast model

Cold Front: (Updated Friday) Big Spring Front Number Two Sun/Mon, 04/15/18

The second big cold front of spring is just about 3 days away. As the big cold front makes its way across the gulf on Sunday morning the south winds are expected to increase. By evening, right before the front comes through, the winds turn west southwest, and could be super gusty. This model is showing sustained winds at 25 knots right along the boundary. That means even stronger gusts. The next morning, Monday morning, the winds gust onshore from the northwest, dropping through the day. There doesn’t appear to be much of a cleanup, but maybe a small glassy wave on Tuesday.

The weather temps noticeably drop behind this front. This could be a 10 degree or more drop in air temperatures. Sunday afternoon evening should still be pretty warm. Monday during the day the high drops to around 72°, with upper 50s first thing that morning. The water’s up to 73° at Pier 60, but will be dropping overnight on Sunday night. The rain coverage will be super high as the front rolls through the area.

Update: Tuesday morning will have a really fun cleanup. North winds with 3-5 foot seas.  It’s gonna be fullsuit weather with temps in the mid 50s.

The biggest surf will be Sunday right before sunset, then Monday morning. My guess is that this one will be the last big cold front of the 2017-2018 surf season.

Sunday/Monday tides:

Cold Front: A Big One On Monday 03/12/2018

A stronger cold front is comin a knockin. Just on our doorstep, Monday afternoon we’ll watch a big cold front move into the gulf. Spring was here for a short while, but it seems to be disappearing into the sunrise as we approach the middle of March with water temperatures down below 65° again today. Monday around mid-day surf will be rising towards heights of head high. Monday evening the surf peaks with the biggest waveheights and warmest temperatures. Tuesday morning will be a smooth morning at south facing beaches. Around 3am the winds shift from the northwest to the north leaving a northwest swell with offshore winds and temps in the mid 50s.

Gulf Coast Surf Forecast: Tropical Strom Harvey Remnants

What was Tropical Storm Harvey no longer has a closed center of circulation and is considered a tropical wave.  It’s currently a 1008 mb low, which means the low associated with the wave isn’t very strong.  It’s headed across Central America tonight. After moving over open waters of the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday Continue reading Gulf Coast Surf Forecast: Tropical Strom Harvey Remnants